The Science Behind China's Sichuan Earthquake

Scientists at the Caltech Tectonics Observatory have started analyzing the devastating earthquake that struck China's Sichuan province on May 12. The earthquake occurred in an area that is deforming as a result of the collision between two tectonics plates, the Indian plate and the Eurasian plate.

Analysis of seismological measurements indicates that the quake reached a magnitude of about 7.9, rupturing the front of the Longmen Shan fault, which marks the eastern edge of Tibet where the steep front of the Longmen Shan mountain range overrides the Sichuan basin. The rupture started at the epicenter and over the next 50 seconds traveled a few hundred kilometers (about 100 miles) toward the northeast, where damage is expected to be even more severe than at the epicenter. The slip (displacement of the two land masses with respect to each other along the fault line) in some places is as large as 12 meters (39 feet).

Shaking in the highly populated basin was amplified by sediments, while shaking in the mountain range triggered landslides that have caused temporary damming of waterways. Within the next few days or weeks, more landslides are expected and some of these dams are expected to undergo catastrophic drainage causing severe flooding, as happened during the nearby 1933 Diexi quake, magnitude estimated at 7.5.

Xichuan Earthquake map
In the figure above, blue arrows show the motion of the land masses. The white star indicates the location of the 2008 Sichuan earthquake. Colored circles indicate the location of all earthquakes occurring between 1964 and 2004 with magnitudes between 4.6 and 9.0. Areas of dense circles indicate boundaries between plates. The blue arrow on India shows that India is moving northward at 4 cm/year. The blue arrows on Asia show Asia's response to India's motion. Southern Asia is squeezing eastward. The Sichuan earthquake occured at about the eastern-most region that is responding to this squeezing. More detail >

6 May 2008
Caltech Today:

Tectonics Observatory Hosts 60 Sixth-Graders pdf icon
Students on the TO tour learned about earthquakes and tsunamis in Sumatra, how scientists at Caltech monitor and interpret seismic activity, and how the Himalaya mountains formed.
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kids touring Tectonics Observatory
Caltech Media Relations
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27 May 2008
News Release, Caltech Media Relations:

Stress Buildup Precedes Large Sumatra Quakes
The island of Sumatra, Indonesia, has shaken many times with powerful earthquakes since the one that wrought the infamous 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. Now, scientists from the California Institute of Technology and the Indonesian Institute of Sciences are harnessing information from these and earlier quakes to determine where the next ones will likely occur, and how big they will be.

29 May 2008
Science Daily:
Stress Buildup Precedes Large Sumatra Earthquakes: When Can We Expect The Next One?

Reprint of Caltech Press Release above
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10 April 2008
News Release, Caltech Media Relations:

A Grand Canyon as Old as the Dinosaurs?
With new geochronologic data from the canyon and surrounding plateaus, geologists from the California Institute of Technology present significant evidence that the canyon formed nearly 50 million years earlier than previously thought.
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Caltech Media Relations
LiveScience logo 4 January 2008
LiveScience, MSNBC:

Reason for earthquake season revealed
New study connects seismic activity with monsoons. Hurricanes and tornadoes have seasons, but do earthquakes? They do in the Himalayas, and it's during the winter.
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